Padova vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
13.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1989 |
AVE
1 - 0
PAD
54%
28%
18%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1989 |
PAD
2 - 2
ASS
63%
23%
13%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1989 |
PAD
0 - 0
UDI
48%
28%
25%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1989 |
MES
2 - 0
PAD
56%
27%
17%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1989 |
PAD
3 - 1
ANC
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1989 |
TAR
1 - 0
PIA
44%
29%
27%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1989 |
TAR
0 - 2
REG
35%
30%
35%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1989 |
USC
2 - 0
TAR
60%
25%
15%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1989 |
PAR
0 - 0
TAR
54%
28%
19%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1989 |
TAR
1 - 1
EMP
34%
34%
32%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |