Padova vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
SPE
1 - 0
PAD
46%
28%
27%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
PAD
1 - 0
TER
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
PAV
1 - 0
PAD
52%
25%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
PAD
2 - 1
ASS
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
ACL
2 - 2
PAD
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
SSS
0 - 0
GIU
54%
27%
20%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2005 |
PRO
1 - 0
SSS
30%
27%
43%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
GEN
1 - 0
SSS
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
SSS
3 - 3
PRO
43%
28%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
SSS
2 - 2
PIZ
44%
27%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |