Padova vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
11.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1962 |
PAD
3 - 2
UDI
62%
20%
18%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
COM
0 - 2
PAD
40%
29%
31%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1962 |
PAD
1 - 3
ASL
71%
17%
12%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1962 |
CAG
0 - 0
PAD
38%
27%
34%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
USA
2 - 0
PAD
37%
28%
35%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1962 |
SSS
0 - 0
CAG
49%
27%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
PRO
1 - 0
SSS
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1962 |
SSS
1 - 1
TRI
45%
28%
27%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1962 |
COS
2 - 1
SSS
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
SSS
1 - 0
ASL
49%
27%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |