Padova vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
22.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1956 |
TOR
2 - 0
PAD
62%
21%
17%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1956 |
PAD
1 - 0
INT
30%
24%
47%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1956 |
BOL
3 - 1
PAD
76%
15%
9%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1956 |
PAD
1 - 1
JUV
34%
25%
41%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1956 |
PAD
1 - 3
SAM
44%
25%
32%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1956 |
SPA
0 - 1
FIO
31%
26%
43%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1956 |
TOR
0 - 0
SPA
60%
22%
19%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1956 |
NAP
2 - 2
SPA
68%
19%
14%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1956 |
SPA
5 - 0
VIC
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1956 |
LAZ
3 - 0
SPA
63%
21%
17%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |