Padova vs San Marino Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
11.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
GIU
1 - 0
PAD
31%
29%
41%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
PAD
2 - 0
PRO
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
PAD
1 - 0
SSS
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
SPE
1 - 0
PAD
46%
28%
27%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
PAD
1 - 0
TER
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
San Marino Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 1
ACL
37%
28%
35%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
FER
1 - 2
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
SAN
0 - 1
NOV
34%
25%
41%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
SAL
0 - 0
SAN
69%
20%
11%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
SAN
0 - 1
PAV
27%
27%
46%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | -1 |