Padova vs Salernitana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
19.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1940 |
PAD
6 - 1
ACM
61%
20%
19%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1938 |
PAD
1 - 3
JUV
36%
26%
38%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1934 |
ROM
2 - 0
PAD
69%
18%
13%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1934 |
PAD
0 - 0
GEN
44%
23%
33%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1934 |
JUV
5 - 1
PAD
91%
6%
3%
|
70 | 90 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1940 |
SAL
3 - 0
PES
58%
20%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
SAL
4 - 0
BAT
85%
10%
5%
|
61 | 31 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
FCS
0 - 1
SAL
34%
23%
43%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1940 |
SAL
4 - 1
JUS
69%
16%
14%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1938 |
LIV
2 - 1
SAL
60%
20%
20%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |