Padova vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
34.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1962 |
PAD
1 - 1
VNZ
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
ATL
0 - 0
PAD
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
FIO
3 - 1
PAD
77%
15%
8%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
ACM
4 - 0
PAD
83%
11%
6%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
PAD
3 - 2
SPA
57%
22%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1962 |
ROM
3 - 1
ATL
75%
16%
10%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
SPA
1 - 2
ROM
34%
27%
40%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
ROM
1 - 2
BOL
64%
19%
18%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
TOR
1 - 1
ROM
42%
26%
32%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
ROM
1 - 0
FIO
41%
23%
35%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | +1 |