Padova vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
19.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
INT
5 - 1
PAD
81%
12%
8%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1951 |
LAZ
4 - 0
PAD
68%
17%
15%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
PAD
2 - 2
TOR
29%
22%
49%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
NAP
1 - 0
PAD
52%
23%
25%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1951 |
JUV
5 - 1
PAD
84%
10%
6%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
ROM
5 - 0
TRI
48%
24%
28%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1951 |
PAL
3 - 0
ROM
57%
22%
21%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
ROM
2 - 2
BOL
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
ACM
2 - 0
ROM
86%
9%
5%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1951 |
FIO
1 - 0
ROM
66%
18%
16%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |