Padova vs Renate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
11.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
PAD
0 - 1
CTT
33%
27%
40%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
FCS
0 - 0
PAD
28%
27%
44%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
PAD
2 - 0
FER
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
ACL
0 - 2
PAD
19%
26%
55%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
PIA
1 - 1
PAD
23%
27%
50%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Renate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
REN
1 - 0
REG
20%
29%
51%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
ACL
1 - 3
REN
48%
26%
26%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
REN
0 - 2
POR
23%
27%
50%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
CTT
4 - 2
REN
78%
15%
7%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
GER
1 - 2
REN
63%
22%
16%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |