Padova vs Reggina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
26.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1968 |
PAD
1 - 1
SPA
41%
31%
29%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1968 |
GEN
2 - 0
PAD
54%
28%
18%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
BRE
2 - 1
PAD
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1968 |
PAD
1 - 0
MAN
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
VAR
0 - 0
PAD
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1968 |
ASS
1 - 1
REG
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1968 |
REG
1 - 0
BRE
35%
29%
36%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
CAG
1 - 1
REG
76%
14%
10%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1968 |
REG
1 - 0
LIV
58%
22%
20%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
REG
1 - 0
PRG
55%
21%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |