Padova vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.7%
3-0
12%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
6.9%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CUN
1 - 1
PAD
15%
24%
61%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
PAD
2 - 1
USC
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
POR
2 - 1
PAD
32%
27%
41%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
PAD
3 - 0
PAV
51%
26%
23%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 3
PAD
20%
26%
54%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
PRO
0 - 2
GER
25%
27%
49%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
REG
1 - 0
PRO
76%
17%
7%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
PRO
0 - 1
USA
12%
20%
68%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
PIA
1 - 1
PRO
67%
21%
12%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
PRO
0 - 1
BV5
11%
20%
69%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | -2 |