Padova vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
27.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1930 |
USA
4 - 2
PAD
61%
19%
20%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1930 |
PAD
2 - 1
BRE
40%
24%
35%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1930 |
PAD
1 - 0
TOR
21%
20%
60%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1930 |
MOD
0 - 2
PAD
62%
20%
18%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1930 |
PAD
3 - 0
ROM
18%
19%
63%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1930 |
PRO
0 - 1
JUV
30%
25%
45%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1930 |
PRO
1 - 0
LEO
46%
23%
31%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1930 |
GEN
6 - 2
PRO
81%
11%
7%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1930 |
PRO
4 - 0
USA
46%
23%
31%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 1930 |
USC
1 - 2
PRO
51%
22%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |