Padova vs Pontedera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2008 |
PAD
6 - 4
CAV
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
USC
2 - 2
PAD
49%
26%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
PAD
1 - 2
PRO
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
USF
1 - 1
PAD
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
PAD
2 - 1
PRO
64%
22%
14%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Pontedera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
ARZ
4 - 2
PON
73%
15%
12%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1940 |
PON
4 - 1
AUL
87%
9%
4%
|
43 | 7 | 36 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1938 |
ACP
6 - 0
PON
69%
17%
15%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 1938 |
PON
1 - 0
GRO
39%
23%
39%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +3 |