Padova vs Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
16%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1989 |
COS
2 - 0
PAD
55%
27%
18%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1989 |
PAD
1 - 4
SSB
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1989 |
USC
3 - 0
PAD
58%
25%
16%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1989 |
PAD
1 - 1
TAR
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1989 |
AVE
1 - 0
PAD
54%
28%
18%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1989 |
GEN
1 - 0
PIA
57%
27%
17%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1989 |
PIA
1 - 0
USC
39%
30%
31%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1989 |
ANC
1 - 0
PIA
56%
26%
18%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1989 |
PIA
0 - 1
COS
44%
28%
28%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1989 |
TAR
1 - 0
PIA
44%
29%
27%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |