Padova vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1968 |
USF
2 - 0
PAD
64%
24%
13%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
PAD
2 - 1
REG
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1968 |
PAD
1 - 1
SPA
41%
31%
29%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1968 |
GEN
2 - 0
PAD
54%
28%
18%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
BRE
2 - 1
PAD
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1968 |
PRG
1 - 0
ASS
51%
24%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
GEN
1 - 0
PRG
54%
26%
21%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1968 |
PRG
0 - 0
CAT
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1968 |
LIV
1 - 1
PRG
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
PRG
1 - 1
LIV
61%
19%
19%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |