Padova vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
NOV
0 - 0
PAD
43%
31%
26%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
PAD
3 - 0
POT
62%
23%
15%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
PAD
1 - 2
USF
47%
28%
25%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
FCC
1 - 0
PAD
52%
28%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1968 |
MES
1 - 0
PAD
38%
32%
30%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
MOD
2 - 1
PRG
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
PRG
0 - 0
LAZ
59%
24%
18%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
PRG
1 - 2
PIS
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
GEN
0 - 0
PRG
55%
24%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1968 |
PRG
4 - 2
NOV
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |