Padova vs Pergolettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
12.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
REN
0 - 3
PAD
22%
26%
53%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
PAD
0 - 2
USA
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -2 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
PAD
2 - 2
POR
25%
25%
49%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
LAZ
1 - 1
PAD
85%
11%
5%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2021 |
USA
0 - 0
PAD
31%
27%
42%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
PER
1 - 2
JS2
35%
26%
40%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
LEO
0 - 0
PER
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
PER
1 - 5
FER
20%
23%
57%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
PIA
2 - 3
PER
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
PON
5 - 1
PER
49%
25%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -2 |