Padova vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.7%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
23.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1989 |
PAD
1 - 1
REG
48%
27%
26%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1989 |
PES
0 - 0
PAD
71%
19%
10%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1989 |
SSB
1 - 0
PAD
57%
26%
17%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1989 |
PAD
3 - 1
COS
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1989 |
GEN
3 - 0
PAD
64%
23%
13%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1989 |
PAR
1 - 1
ANC
45%
30%
25%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1989 |
COM
0 - 0
PAR
55%
26%
18%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1989 |
PAR
1 - 0
PES
32%
30%
38%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1989 |
REG
0 - 0
PAR
53%
27%
20%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1989 |
PAR
0 - 0
ACM
18%
29%
53%
|
65 | 89 | 24 | 0 |