Padova vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
18.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1987 |
SSB
1 - 2
PAD
41%
30%
30%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1987 |
PAD
1 - 0
FCC
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1987 |
ATL
0 - 0
PAD
62%
24%
14%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1987 |
PAD
1 - 0
TRI
58%
26%
17%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1987 |
PIA
2 - 1
PAD
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1987 |
PAR
2 - 1
MOD
59%
26%
16%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1987 |
BAR
0 - 0
PAR
51%
29%
21%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1987 |
PAR
1 - 1
SSS
52%
29%
19%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1987 |
UDI
2 - 1
PAR
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1987 |
TAR
0 - 0
PAR
41%
31%
28%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |