Padova vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
37.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1954 |
ACM
0 - 1
PAD
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1954 |
PAD
2 - 2
PAL
54%
24%
23%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
PAD
3 - 1
MES
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
MOD
4 - 2
PAD
54%
25%
22%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
PAD
1 - 2
USA
61%
21%
18%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1954 |
PAR
3 - 2
PAL
63%
19%
18%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1954 |
PAR
1 - 1
MES
78%
14%
8%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
TAR
2 - 0
PAR
37%
23%
40%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
PAR
1 - 0
PAV
74%
16%
10%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
MOD
2 - 1
PAR
29%
24%
47%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |