Padova vs Palermo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
25.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1933 |
BRE
1 - 0
PAD
50%
22%
27%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1933 |
PAD
3 - 1
NAP
25%
21%
54%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1933 |
BOL
3 - 0
PAD
79%
12%
9%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1933 |
PAD
1 - 1
LEO
49%
23%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1933 |
ACM
2 - 2
PAD
76%
13%
11%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1933 |
PAL
2 - 1
LEO
46%
24%
30%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1933 |
PAL
3 - 0
CAS
55%
21%
24%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1933 |
NAP
3 - 0
PAL
74%
15%
11%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1933 |
TRI
1 - 0
PAL
56%
22%
23%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1933 |
PAL
2 - 1
USA
42%
24%
35%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |