Padova vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
ACL
2 - 0
PAD
26%
28%
46%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
PAD
0 - 0
UNI
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
PRO
2 - 1
PAD
39%
28%
33%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
PAD
0 - 0
REG
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2008 |
USC
3 - 2
PAD
43%
25%
31%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
NOV
1 - 2
ASS
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
SSS
0 - 1
NOV
32%
28%
39%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
NOV
1 - 1
USC
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
ACL
0 - 1
NOV
33%
28%
39%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2008 |
ACM
1 - 3
NOV
18%
24%
58%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | 0 |