Padova vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
25.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1951 |
PAL
4 - 1
PAD
54%
22%
24%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1951 |
PAD
5 - 2
ACM
19%
21%
60%
|
70 | 90 | 20 | +2 |
| 02 Dec. 1951 |
PAD
0 - 0
TRI
58%
22%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1951 |
FIO
3 - 1
PAD
65%
19%
16%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1951 |
PAD
2 - 1
LAZ
40%
26%
35%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1951 |
NOV
2 - 2
LAZ
46%
25%
30%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1951 |
INT
3 - 1
NOV
84%
10%
6%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1951 |
COM
2 - 2
NOV
52%
22%
26%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1951 |
NOV
4 - 1
UDI
62%
19%
19%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1951 |
ASL
1 - 1
NOV
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |