Padova vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
19.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
BOL
0 - 0
PAD
62%
20%
18%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
LAZ
1 - 1
PAD
63%
19%
18%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
PAD
0 - 0
GEN
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1949 |
JUV
6 - 1
PAD
74%
15%
11%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1949 |
PAL
1 - 0
PAD
43%
25%
33%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
NOV
2 - 1
MOD
41%
27%
33%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
NOV
1 - 1
INT
27%
26%
47%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
ATL
3 - 1
NOV
60%
21%
19%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1949 |
LAZ
2 - 1
NOV
67%
18%
15%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1948 |
ASL
5 - 1
NOV
56%
22%
22%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |