Padova vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
30.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1956 |
ATL
0 - 2
PAD
67%
19%
14%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1956 |
PAD
0 - 0
SPA
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1956 |
TOR
2 - 0
PAD
62%
21%
17%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1956 |
PAD
1 - 0
INT
30%
24%
47%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1956 |
BOL
3 - 1
PAD
76%
15%
9%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1956 |
INT
3 - 0
NAP
69%
18%
13%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1956 |
NAP
0 - 0
VIC
72%
17%
11%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1956 |
NAP
3 - 2
TRI
67%
19%
15%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1956 |
FIO
0 - 0
NAP
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1956 |
NAP
2 - 2
SPA
68%
19%
14%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |