Padova vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1951 |
PAD
0 - 1
JUV
27%
23%
50%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1951 |
GEN
3 - 1
PAD
56%
22%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1951 |
PAD
1 - 2
NOV
56%
22%
22%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1951 |
ASL
3 - 2
PAD
53%
23%
25%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
TRI
0 - 0
PAD
54%
23%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1951 |
NAP
2 - 1
UDI
57%
21%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1951 |
NAP
3 - 0
PAL
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1951 |
TRI
1 - 1
NAP
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1951 |
NAP
1 - 1
TOR
29%
24%
47%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
NAP
0 - 0
LAZ
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |