Padova vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
58.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1930 |
JUV
3 - 1
PAD
75%
15%
10%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1930 |
PAD
1 - 2
TRI
54%
21%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1930 |
USC
1 - 1
PAD
42%
23%
35%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1930 |
ACM
6 - 0
PAD
76%
14%
10%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1930 |
PAD
2 - 1
LAZ
28%
21%
51%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1930 |
NAP
3 - 1
USA
76%
14%
11%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1930 |
NAP
3 - 0
LAZ
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 1930 |
GEN
2 - 2
NAP
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1930 |
NAP
3 - 1
INT
41%
24%
34%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1930 |
LEO
4 - 0
NAP
36%
21%
42%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |