Padova vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
37.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
LAT
3 - 0
PAD
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
PAD
0 - 1
EMP
27%
28%
45%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
PAD
1 - 0
NOV
30%
26%
44%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
PAL
1 - 0
PAD
77%
16%
7%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
PAD
1 - 4
CAR
46%
27%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
MOD
2 - 0
CRO
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
TRA
2 - 0
MOD
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
MOD
4 - 0
BAR
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
CTT
0 - 1
MOD
36%
28%
37%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
MOD
4 - 1
VAR
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |