Padova vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.6%
28%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
23%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1992 |
USC
3 - 0
PAD
58%
26%
17%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1992 |
PAD
0 - 0
COS
45%
28%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1992 |
FIA
3 - 0
PAD
35%
28%
37%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1992 |
PES
1 - 1
PAD
63%
23%
14%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1992 |
PAD
1 - 1
PIA
50%
29%
22%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1992 |
MOD
1 - 0
TAR
50%
27%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1992 |
ASC
3 - 0
MOD
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1992 |
MOD
0 - 3
NAP
22%
29%
49%
|
66 | 89 | 23 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1992 |
NAP
3 - 0
MOD
80%
14%
6%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1992 |
CAS
0 - 1
MOD
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |