Padova vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
19.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1991 |
CES
1 - 0
PAD
59%
25%
17%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1991 |
PAD
2 - 1
PAL
55%
26%
19%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1991 |
LEC
4 - 1
PAD
59%
25%
16%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1991 |
PAD
1 - 1
PIS
40%
28%
32%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1991 |
REG
1 - 1
PAD
55%
26%
19%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1991 |
MOD
1 - 0
BOL
41%
28%
31%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1991 |
MOD
1 - 1
VNZ
52%
27%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1991 |
CES
2 - 0
MOD
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1991 |
MOD
2 - 1
CAS
59%
25%
17%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1991 |
PAL
2 - 0
MOD
39%
29%
32%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |