Padova vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
12.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
SSS
1 - 1
PAD
43%
32%
25%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
PAD
3 - 0
BRE
53%
28%
20%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
GEN
0 - 1
PAD
56%
27%
17%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1987 |
PAD
2 - 1
MES
55%
26%
20%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
PAD
4 - 5
UDI
39%
25%
36%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
MOD
0 - 0
LAZ
39%
31%
30%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
MOD
2 - 2
SSS
46%
30%
24%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
USC
2 - 2
MOD
68%
21%
11%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1987 |
MOD
0 - 1
BAR
40%
32%
28%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
MOD
0 - 1
LIV
32%
23%
46%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -1 |