Padova vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
19.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1968 |
REG
2 - 0
PAD
52%
29%
19%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1968 |
PAD
1 - 1
LAZ
58%
26%
16%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1968 |
PAD
2 - 2
GEN
53%
27%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1968 |
VNZ
0 - 0
PAD
51%
28%
21%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1968 |
PAD
1 - 0
ASS
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1968 |
LEC
0 - 0
MOD
55%
26%
20%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1968 |
MOD
1 - 0
REG
51%
27%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1968 |
USF
2 - 1
MOD
58%
26%
17%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1968 |
MOD
3 - 1
CAT
48%
27%
24%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1968 |
LAZ
2 - 0
MOD
47%
30%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |