Padova vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
16.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1952 |
VER
4 - 2
PAD
55%
23%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1952 |
UNI
3 - 0
PAD
67%
18%
16%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1952 |
PAD
0 - 1
SAL
68%
18%
14%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1952 |
PAD
4 - 2
MES
67%
19%
14%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1952 |
FAN
2 - 0
PAD
57%
21%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1952 |
BRE
0 - 0
MOD
55%
25%
21%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1952 |
MOD
1 - 0
CAG
36%
24%
41%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1952 |
MOD
1 - 0
ASL
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1952 |
GEN
1 - 2
MOD
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1952 |
VIC
2 - 0
MOD
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |