Padova vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
52.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1995 |
ASS
0 - 2
PAD
23%
28%
49%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1995 |
INT
2 - 1
PAD
69%
20%
11%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1995 |
PAD
1 - 1
GEN
38%
28%
34%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1995 |
USC
3 - 0
PAD
54%
26%
19%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1995 |
PAD
3 - 0
REG
53%
26%
21%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1995 |
FIO
1 - 2
ACM
37%
26%
37%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1995 |
ACM
0 - 1
BAR
69%
21%
10%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1995 |
AJA
1 - 0
ACM
55%
23%
22%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1995 |
NAP
1 - 0
ACM
32%
27%
41%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1995 |
ACM
1 - 0
ROM
58%
25%
17%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |