Padova vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
12.3%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
56.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
18.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.8%
0-2
13%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1994 |
NAP
3 - 3
PAD
72%
19%
9%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1994 |
PAD
0 - 2
BAR
43%
29%
29%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1994 |
INT
0 - 1
PAD
76%
17%
7%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1994 |
TOR
2 - 0
PAD
72%
20%
8%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1994 |
PAD
0 - 3
PAR
23%
29%
49%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1994 |
ACM
1 - 2
INT
57%
25%
18%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1994 |
ACM
1 - 0
BRE
67%
21%
12%
|
92 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1994 |
ACM
3 - 0
RBS
68%
22%
11%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1994 |
USC
1 - 0
ACM
22%
28%
50%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1994 |
PAL
0 - 1
ACM
17%
29%
54%
|
92 | 66 | 26 | 0 |