Padova vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
36.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1982 |
GEN
1 - 1
PAD
56%
21%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1969 |
BRE
4 - 0
PAD
71%
20%
9%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +9 |
| 15 Jun. 1969 |
COM
3 - 0
PAD
58%
25%
17%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 1969 |
PAD
2 - 0
MOD
45%
30%
25%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 1969 |
PAD
1 - 1
MAN
38%
32%
30%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1982 |
PES
1 - 1
ACM
24%
28%
48%
|
74 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1982 |
CES
2 - 3
ACM
50%
26%
25%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1982 |
ACM
0 - 0
TOR
44%
31%
25%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1982 |
CAG
1 - 1
ACM
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1982 |
ACM
2 - 1
AVE
52%
29%
20%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |