Padova vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
44.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1934 |
CAS
0 - 0
PAD
44%
24%
32%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1934 |
PAD
2 - 0
LAZ
45%
24%
32%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1934 |
INT
1 - 0
PAD
85%
9%
6%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1934 |
PAD
1 - 0
USA
44%
23%
33%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1934 |
LIV
3 - 1
PAD
50%
22%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1934 |
BRE
3 - 0
ACM
37%
25%
38%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1934 |
ACM
1 - 0
GEN
60%
20%
20%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1934 |
LIV
4 - 0
ACM
33%
22%
45%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1934 |
ACM
1 - 1
BOL
49%
23%
27%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1934 |
LAZ
4 - 0
ACM
43%
25%
32%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |