Padova vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
19.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
PAD
4 - 5
UDI
39%
25%
36%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
NAP
1 - 0
PAD
79%
14%
7%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
PAD
7 - 5
LIV
42%
23%
35%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1987 |
MOD
4 - 3
PAD
45%
25%
30%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1987 |
FIO
0 - 1
PAD
80%
14%
6%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
MES
4 - 2
BOL
48%
24%
29%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
MES
1 - 0
CAM
55%
22%
22%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
MES
3 - 1
SPA
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1987 |
VER
2 - 1
MES
91%
7%
3%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1987 |
MES
0 - 1
CES
47%
24%
30%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |