Padova vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
SSS
2 - 1
PAD
32%
31%
37%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1963 |
ATL
2 - 0
PAD
66%
19%
15%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
UDI
2 - 0
PAD
46%
27%
28%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
PAD
2 - 3
COM
73%
18%
9%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1963 |
ASL
0 - 0
PAD
33%
29%
38%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
MES
1 - 0
ASL
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
MES
1 - 0
USA
68%
20%
12%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
ASS
1 - 0
MES
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1963 |
LEC
0 - 3
MES
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1963 |
MES
0 - 0
VER
58%
23%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |