Padova vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
11.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1962 |
CAG
0 - 0
PAD
38%
27%
34%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
USA
2 - 0
PAD
37%
28%
35%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1962 |
PAD
0 - 0
BAR
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1962 |
PAD
4 - 2
USF
70%
17%
13%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
PAR
0 - 1
PAD
29%
29%
42%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1962 |
ASL
1 - 3
LAZ
48%
27%
25%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
SSS
1 - 0
ASL
49%
27%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1962 |
ASL
0 - 0
ASS
57%
25%
18%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1962 |
ASL
2 - 0
COM
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
BRE
2 - 1
ASL
58%
23%
18%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |