Padova vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
23.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1952 |
BOL
2 - 1
PAD
63%
19%
17%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1952 |
PAD
0 - 1
NAP
48%
24%
28%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1952 |
COM
3 - 2
PAD
57%
21%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1952 |
PAD
1 - 0
PRO
52%
23%
25%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1952 |
JUV
3 - 0
PAD
88%
8%
4%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1952 |
ASL
0 - 0
NAP
48%
24%
28%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1952 |
UNI
0 - 2
ASL
58%
21%
22%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1952 |
ASL
0 - 5
ACM
19%
21%
60%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1952 |
ATL
1 - 2
ASL
58%
22%
20%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1952 |
SPA
1 - 0
ASL
60%
21%
19%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |