Padova vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
34.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2012 |
VIR
2 - 1
PAD
22%
26%
52%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
PAD
0 - 0
TER
67%
21%
12%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
SPE
2 - 3
PAD
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
PAD
1 - 3
SAS
32%
28%
41%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
NOV
3 - 1
PAD
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2012 |
LIV
2 - 2
JUS
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
LIV
3 - 2
SAS
37%
26%
36%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
BRE
0 - 0
LIV
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2012 |
LIV
2 - 1
TER
71%
20%
10%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
VIC
3 - 3
LIV
29%
28%
43%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |