Padova vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
24%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1949 |
PRO
3 - 0
PAD
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
ATL
0 - 1
PAD
54%
22%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
PAD
4 - 4
TOR
22%
24%
55%
|
73 | 91 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
FIO
0 - 0
PAD
63%
19%
18%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
PAD
0 - 0
MOD
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1949 |
LIV
2 - 1
ROM
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
ASL
0 - 1
LIV
58%
21%
22%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
LIV
1 - 1
FIO
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
LIV
2 - 0
PRO
48%
24%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
BOL
6 - 2
LIV
62%
20%
18%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |