Padova vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1985 |
TAR
1 - 2
PAD
35%
29%
36%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1985 |
PAD
1 - 1
PRG
49%
28%
23%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1985 |
BAR
2 - 2
PAD
64%
23%
13%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1985 |
PAD
0 - 0
SSS
58%
25%
17%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1985 |
PAD
2 - 2
CAG
51%
28%
22%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1985 |
ASS
1 - 1
LEC
46%
31%
24%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1985 |
LEC
2 - 0
CAG
52%
28%
20%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1985 |
TRI
1 - 1
LEC
54%
27%
19%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1985 |
LEC
2 - 2
CAM
55%
28%
17%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1985 |
PRG
0 - 0
LEC
47%
31%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |