Padova vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
33.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
GEN
7 - 1
PAD
71%
16%
14%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1942 |
PAD
3 - 5
ACM
47%
23%
30%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1942 |
JUV
1 - 0
PAD
68%
17%
15%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1941 |
PAD
3 - 2
BRE
61%
20%
18%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1941 |
PAD
2 - 0
NAP
55%
22%
22%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
LAZ
0 - 4
JUV
38%
24%
38%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1948 |
LAZ
3 - 3
SAM
54%
21%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1948 |
USA
2 - 2
LAZ
41%
23%
36%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1948 |
LAZ
2 - 1
VIC
68%
18%
15%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1948 |
LAZ
5 - 0
FIO
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |