Padova vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
51.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1930 |
PAD
5 - 0
LEO
46%
23%
31%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1930 |
PAD
0 - 0
GEN
23%
21%
57%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1930 |
BOL
1 - 2
PAD
83%
11%
7%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1930 |
PAD
1 - 2
INT
32%
25%
43%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1930 |
LIV
4 - 3
PAD
54%
21%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1930 |
LAZ
0 - 0
BRE
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1930 |
ROM
3 - 1
LAZ
58%
20%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1930 |
LAZ
0 - 0
ACM
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1930 |
USC
1 - 3
LAZ
20%
19%
61%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1930 |
LAZ
4 - 0
MOD
77%
14%
9%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |