Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 1-3
Padova vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
49.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1994 |
BAR
1 - 1
PAD
55%
27%
18%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1994 |
PAD
0 - 0
PAL
61%
24%
15%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1994 |
RAV
0 - 0
PAD
35%
30%
35%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1994 |
PAD
1 - 1
FIA
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1994 |
VNZ
2 - 0
PAD
51%
28%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1994 |
LOD
0 - 3
INT
12%
22%
67%
|
87 | 43 | 44 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1994 |
INT
1 - 0
RBS
67%
20%
13%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1994 |
ATL
2 - 1
INT
30%
27%
43%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1994 |
RBS
0 - 1
INT
35%
28%
38%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1994 |
INT
2 - 2
ROM
53%
25%
22%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |