Padova vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
25.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1959 |
PAD
3 - 1
LAZ
51%
22%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1958 |
VIC
3 - 2
PAD
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1958 |
PAD
2 - 1
UDI
61%
20%
19%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1958 |
SAM
3 - 0
PAD
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1958 |
PAD
4 - 2
GEN
56%
22%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1959 |
INT
1 - 1
NAP
66%
18%
16%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1958 |
TOR
0 - 5
INT
42%
24%
34%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1958 |
TRI
1 - 1
INT
33%
25%
42%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1958 |
INT
7 - 0
LYO
68%
17%
15%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1958 |
INT
1 - 3
JUV
48%
22%
30%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |