Padova vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.8%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
28.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1969 |
PAD
0 - 0
BRE
30%
31%
39%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
PAD
1 - 0
COM
43%
30%
27%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
MOD
2 - 1
PAD
57%
26%
18%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
MAN
2 - 0
PAD
52%
29%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
PAD
0 - 0
FCC
52%
28%
20%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1969 |
GEN
1 - 0
LIV
54%
28%
19%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
BRE
1 - 1
GEN
65%
22%
13%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
GEN
0 - 0
BAR
46%
29%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
REG
1 - 0
GEN
49%
28%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
GEN
2 - 2
ASS
55%
26%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |