Padova vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
46.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1932 |
PAD
2 - 1
ACM
34%
22%
44%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1932 |
JUV
3 - 1
PAD
88%
8%
4%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1932 |
PAD
0 - 0
BOL
34%
24%
42%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1930 |
ROM
8 - 0
PAD
78%
13%
9%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 1930 |
PAD
3 - 0
NAP
22%
20%
58%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1932 |
GEN
2 - 0
CAS
82%
11%
7%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1932 |
PRO
3 - 4
GEN
32%
24%
44%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1932 |
GEN
4 - 0
TRI
70%
17%
13%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1932 |
GEN
2 - 1
LEO
63%
20%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1932 |
PRO
2 - 0
GEN
31%
24%
45%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |